Ranked: Teams Most Likely to Win College Football Playoff National Championship

Ohio State (95%)

As we roll into Week 3 of the college football season, ESPN’s analytics squad has sifted through the early chaos and pinpointed the dozen teams that are primed to punch their tickets to playoff contention. From Ohio State’s statement win over Texas to upsets that shook the rankings, here’s the latest snapshot of who’s firing on all cylinders and chasing the national crown.

1. Ohio State

Ohio State
Ohio State Buckeyes linebackers coach James Laurinaitis high fives players during the NCAA football game against the Grambling State Tigers at Ohio Stadium on Sept. 6, 2025. Credit: © Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

2. Miami

Miami
Miami Hurricanes wide receiver Malachi Toney (10) reacts after defeating the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Hard Rock Stadium. Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

3. LSU

LSU
LSU Tigers quarterback Garrett Nussmeier (18) yells down field Saturday, Aug. 30, 2025 during the NCAA football game against the Clemson Tigers at Memorial Stadium in Clemson, South Carolina. Credit: © Alex Martin/Greenville News / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

4. Florida State

Florida State
Florida State Seminoles quarterback Tommy Castellanos (1) runs the ball during the first half against the East Texas A&M Lions at Doak S. Campbell Stadium. Credit: Melina Myers-Imagn Images

5. Oregon

Oregon
Oregon quarterback Luke Moga carries the ball as the Oregon Ducks host the Montana State Bobcats on Aug. 30, 2025, at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon. Credit: © Ben Lonergan/The Register-Guard / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

6. Penn State

Penn State
Penn State Nittany Lions tight end Luke Reynolds (85) attempts to make a catch during the second quarter against the Florida International Panthers at Beaver Stadium. Credit: Matthew O’Haren-Imagn Images

7. Tennessee

Tennessee
Tennessee Titans defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons (98) pressures Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) in the second half at Empower Field at Mile High. Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

8. Georgia

Georgia
Georgia Bulldogs offensive lineman Cortez Smith (50) over the ball during the Georgia Spring game at Sanford Stadium. Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

9. Texas

Texas
Texas Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning (16) leaves the field following the 14-7 loss to the Ohio State Buckeyes in the NCAA football game at Ohio Stadium on Aug. 30, 2025. Credit: © Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

10. Notre Dame

Notre Dame
Notre Dame Fighting Irish quarterback Kenny Minchey (8) scores a touchdown during the Blue-Gold game at Notre Dame Stadium. Credit: Michael Caterina-Imagn Images

11. Illinois

Illinois
Illinois Fighting Illini wide receiver Hank Beatty (80) runs the ball after a pass reception as Western Illinois Leathernecks defensive back Buju Aumua-Tuisavura (14) tackles during the first half at Memorial Stadium. Credit: Ron Johnson-Imagn Images

12. Oklahoma

Oklahoma
Oklahoma’s John Mateer (10) and Jaydn Ott (0) sing the alma mater following the college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners and the Illinois State Redbirds at the Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla., Saturday, Aug. 30, 2025. Credit: © SARAH PHIPPS/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Conclusion

Conclusion
Miami Hurricanes wide receiver CJ Daniels (7) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Bethune-Cookman Wildcats during the second quarter at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

These 12 teams are jockeying for position in the evolving championship chase. As upsets and breakout performances continue to rewrite the narrative, one thing’s for sure—the road to glory is wide open. Stay locked in, because this season’s playoff picture promises mid-season madness and title hopes in high gear