10 best bets for 2025 Oscars upsets

As the 2025 Oscars approach tonight (Sunday, March 2, 2025), the anticipation is building for what is shaping up to be a highly competitive and unpredictable awards season. From international films vying for recognition to standout performances and groundbreaking storytelling, this year’s nominees showcase a diverse array of talent and creativity. With several dark horse contenders poised to upset the favorites, the race is on to see who will take home the coveted statuettes. Let’s explore the potential surprise winners that could redefine this year’s ceremony.

“Emilia Pérez” for Best International Film

“I’m Still Here” faces stiff competition from “Emilia Pérez” for Best International Film. Despite being favored, it could be an upset if it loses, especially given “Emilia Pérez’s” strong Oscar nominations and themes that resonate with voters.

“Emilia Pérez” for Best Film Editing

Though not favored, “Emilia Pérez” could pull off an upset following its BAFTA win, despite “Anora” and “Conclave” being top contenders. The historical connection between editing and sound awards might also boost its chances, as seen in past winners like “The Sound of Metal.”

“A Complete Unknown” for Best Picture

“A Complete Unknown” could capitalize on split voting, potentially benefiting from divided support among frontrunners like “Anora” and “Conclave.” With nominations across major guilds, it remains a dark horse contender despite long odds, offering a high-risk, high-reward bet for those seeking an upset.

“Wicked” for Best Sound

“Wicked” is a dark horse for Best Sound, despite its impressive nominations. With a team including Simon Hayes and Andy Nelson, it boasts strong technical expertise, making it a potential upset winner in this category. Its magical world demands precise sound design, which could sway voters.

“The Brutalist” for Best Picture

Though less likely, “The Brutalist” could pull off a surprise Best Picture win due to its critical acclaim and Adrien Brody’s sweeping awards season. Despite AI usage controversies, its strong performances and unique storytelling might sway voters.

Fernanda Torres for Best Actress

Fernanda Torres is a dark horse for Best Actress, thanks to her powerful performance in “I’m Still Here,” which surprisingly earned a Best Picture nomination. Her Golden Globe win adds momentum, making her a contender to watch despite being a long shot in a competitive field.

Timothee Chalamet for Best Actor

Timothee Chalamet’s SAG win for his portrayal of Bob Dylan in “A Complete Unknown” positions him as a potential Oscar upset. His youthful energy and dedication to his craft, as seen in his acceptance speech, highlight his rising star status and make him a contender for a surprise Best Actor win. He’d beat frontrunner Adrien Brody as the youngest Best Actor ever.

“A Real Pain” for Best Original Screenplay

“A Real Pain” has garnered significant attention with wins at major award shows, positioning it as a dark horse for Best Original Screenplay. Its unique narrative could sway voters, making it a potential upset contender against more favored nominees like “Anora”, “Conclave”, and “The Substance” in the 2025 Oscars.

“Conclave” for Best Picture

“Conclave” is a strong contender for Best Picture, despite “Anora”‘s current lead. With backing from BAFTA and SAG, Conclave’s ensemble cast and strategic campaigning could sway voters, making it a viable upset choice in the Oscars race.

Isabella Rossellini for Best Supporting Actress

A surprise win by Isabella Rossellini for her role in “Conclave” could shake up the Best Supporting Actress category. Her first Oscar nomination comes after decades of iconic roles, including “Blue Velvet,” making her a dark horse in a field that includes Ariana Grande and Felicity Jones.

Conclusion

The 2025 Oscars promise excitement and speculation as hopefuls across various categories await their fate. With the potential for upsets in categories such as Best International Film, Best Actress, and Best Picture, this year’s awards could be full of surprises. As the ceremony draws near, the anticipation only grows, drawing viewers into the fascinating world of cinema excellence and the possibility of career-defining moments. Whether the frontrunners hold steady or dark horses steal the spotlight, the Oscars will undoubtedly celebrate the artistry and passion that drive the film industry forward.